Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.614534 2.745232 2.882072 3.036584 3.206888 3.389666 3.601739
2025-11-23 2.418972 2.602219 2.803010 3.041405 3.319525 3.637371 4.033595
2025-11-30 2.280554 2.500611 2.750707 3.060368 3.440028 3.899746 4.514493
2025-12-07 2.147959 2.389911 2.672816 3.035117 3.498116 4.087776 4.929141
2025-12-14 2.013780 2.264681 2.564279 2.957897 3.477489 4.166908 5.206624
2025-12-21 1.938702 2.203840 2.527282 2.963693 3.560091 4.388186 5.720184
2025-12-28 1.895059 2.177372 2.529236 3.017148 3.708805 4.718271 6.468316
2026-01-04 1.819698 2.105578 2.467016 2.977584 3.720044 4.843288 6.904635
2026-01-11 1.774678 2.069482 2.448155 2.994370 3.812345 5.103835 7.648997
2026-01-18 1.742731 2.048029 2.446483 3.033668 3.940511 5.440342 8.649778
2026-01-25 1.690491 1.996917 2.401145 3.005586 3.959293 5.590059 9.305169
2026-02-01 1.639019 1.944432 2.350937 2.966309 3.955267 5.696552 9.899231
2026-02-08 1.584075 1.887969 2.296388 2.923058 3.950985 5.822391 10.663309
2026-02-15 1.541688 1.847090 2.262081 2.908791 3.995298 6.054620 11.877129
2026-02-22 1.508688 1.817679 2.242539 2.915906 4.077674 6.383859 13.666797
2026-03-01 1.467635 1.775391 2.202215 2.887172 4.092772 6.573368 15.171056
2026-03-08 1.416720 1.717505 2.136590 2.813663 4.018452 6.547520 15.810051
2026-03-15 1.390459 1.693270 2.119266 2.817325 4.088748 6.877404 18.509470
2026-03-22 1.377619 1.687361 2.128573 2.865110 4.249112 7.476187 24.044220
2026-03-29 1.343954 1.650424 2.089447 2.828587 4.237829 7.622340 27.106289
2026-04-05 1.325142 1.634173 2.080927 2.843594 4.333170 8.096119 35.215074
2026-04-12 1.312324 1.626051 2.084314 2.879186 4.476115 8.767715 52.536224
2026-04-19 1.285922 1.597177 2.054240 2.853561 4.483368 9.013278 67.839860